Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 59.845430 68.023654 76.445227 85.732309 95.654322 105.906976 117.271881
2025-05-11 46.554173 58.067469 70.532302 84.892235 100.848040 117.914026 137.430560
2025-05-18 39.364381 52.713329 67.711331 85.526289 105.846027 128.063974 153.965025
2025-05-25 33.286500 47.725239 64.520316 85.023531 108.943332 135.584141 167.131027
2025-06-01 28.868736 44.123574 62.438373 85.339373 112.572836 143.369633 180.302261
2025-06-08 24.594670 40.205880 59.566663 84.355149 114.378778 148.818265 190.602416
2025-06-15 22.016871 38.174919 58.777263 85.675081 118.736969 157.089492 204.042254
2025-06-22 19.856010 36.463343 58.205887 87.108737 123.111045 165.292757 217.342741
2025-06-29 17.125985 33.677901 56.024706 86.339889 124.658389 170.040472 226.513854
2025-07-06 14.292220 30.431548 52.991357 84.279033 124.446162 172.555305 232.943820
2025-07-13 13.563983 30.266592 54.084824 87.527403 130.827391 183.003980 248.801867
2025-07-20 12.495250 29.456828 54.206391 89.441009 135.492136 191.353089 262.152151
2025-07-27 10.759472 27.412260 52.492300 88.864450 136.992503 195.876696 270.990678
2025-08-03 9.137055 25.357929 50.627207 87.980238 138.025784 199.781926 279.061792
2025-08-10 8.083324 24.163402 49.936561 88.631931 140.994688 206.047697 289.975945
2025-08-17 6.881128 22.528229 48.468722 88.117808 142.376773 210.293984 298.399629
2025-08-24 5.991057 21.362917 47.640478 88.440485 144.817470 215.839088 308.400103
2025-08-31 4.952058 19.718207 45.942211 87.435234 145.428214 219.032830 315.475809
2025-09-07 4.440699 19.124564 45.893586 88.783323 149.176776 226.198288 327.465738
2025-09-14 3.996747 18.612603 45.940731 90.247356 153.070367 233.547740 339.693469
2025-09-21 3.268469 17.273005 44.509533 89.462243 153.860899 236.897919 346.925555
2025-09-28 2.473662 15.536155 42.263157 87.357491 152.768236 237.771319 351.020262
2025-10-05 2.410516 15.815236 43.582194 90.674856 159.181897 248.368808 367.340287